Macedonia's path to the European Union remains uncertain, with varying assessments of the "predictability" of the process. The key question is whether there will be firm guarantees from Brussels for real progress forward.

Without concrete steps from the EU side, there is a risk the process could stagnate even longer. The question is whether Macedonia will wait decades or will have to make additional concessions to secure progress.

Analysts indicate that the European path is up in the air, with a clear timeline for the next concrete steps lacking. While Brussels continues to repeat the same recommendations, progress on the ground remains minimal.

The situation is further complicated by the geopolitical context, in which the EU faces internal challenges related to the rule of law among its own members, while the enlargement process is not a priority for all major capitals.