OPEC+ decided on a modest, nearly symbolic increase in oil production of 206,000 barrels per day starting from May. Analysts assess that the real effect will be limited, especially amid current geopolitical tensions.

War remains a key factor affecting the energy sector. Conflicts create not only short-term price shocks but also long-term consequences for investments, transport routes and production stability.

Logistical constraints, sanctions and uncertainty are making energy companies cautious about new investments. Additionally, some OPEC+ member states face technical and infrastructure limitations, meaning announced increases will be difficult to fully implement.

The global oil market remains sensitive to every geopolitical development. Despite attempts to balance supply, uncertainty continues to play a key role in price movements.