The Balkans In The Red: 90% of Europe Breathes Bad Air - We Pay With Our Lives
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The same day, almost the same hour, the two biggest players in artificial intelligence announced an almost identical move. Anthropic announced a joint vehicle for corporate AI services with Blackstone, Hellman & Friedman and Goldman Sachs as founding partners. Hours later, Bloomberg reported that OpenAI is doing exactly the same thing - just bigger.
The numbers are different, but the logic is the same. Anthropic launched its vehicle at a 1.5 billion dollar valuation, with commitments of 300 million dollars each from Anthropic, Blackstone and Hellman & Friedman. The investor circle is the „who's who" of American financial elite - Apollo Global Management, General Atlantic, GIC, Leonard Green and Sequoia Capital.
OpenAI is going three floors higher. Their vehicle, named The Development Company, is pulling in 4 billion dollars from 19 investors at a 10 billion dollar valuation. Names on the table: TPG, Brookfield Asset Management, Advent and Bain Capital. Zero overlap between the investors of the two companies - an obvious signal that the market is splitting into camps.
The logic for both players isn't hard to decode - they're buying distribution channels. Alternative capital managers who own hundreds of portfolio companies now have an incentive to push Anthropic or OpenAI's AI services into those companies. The capital is also going into „forward-deployed engineers" - the Palantir model, where engineers sit in client offices and build tools inside the customer's own processes.
The context is what makes this day interesting. OpenAI announced at the end of March a 122 billion dollar new financing round at 852 billion dollar valuation. Anthropic is in the last stage of its round - asking for 50 billion dollars at 900 billion dollar valuation. For comparison - that's more than the combined GDP of all of Eastern Europe. Both labs believe the winner will be decided not in the models, but in distribution.
For European and Balkan readers, the question is a different one - when two players of this size are playing the same hand and have access to almost every large corporation through their investors, how do Mistral, Cohere or any regional solution survive? The answer is - mostly they don't. That's the point.
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