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When Donald Trump threatened to pull American troops out of Germany, it sounded like a dramatic statement. But in Brussels and Berlin nobody is panicking - and not because they don't care. Because they know how this works.
There are now 36,000 American troops in Germany. They include commands for Europe and Africa, as well as the B-61 nuclear bombs. All those operations are tied to the supply flow toward the Middle East. If Trump pulls them out, that same morning the military channel toward Iran and the bases in the Persian Gulf breaks down. In practice - he can't. He doesn't want to. He's just threatening.
There's also a law. Since 2025, the American Congress has decided that Europe cannot have fewer than 76,000 troops. Which means Trump can pull at most about 9,000 - and that with a procedure that takes years and billions of dollars.
Retired general Mark Hertling put it in one sentence: "At least four years, and hundreds of billions of dollars. And that's without relocating families and abandoning bases that have just been renovated". Translation: the pull-out is expensive, slow and strategically damaging.
Germany's foreign minister Johann Wadephul reacted with discretion: "We are prepared". That's a signal not of panic but of routine readiness. The Berlin administration measures it "by deeds, not words".
For the Balkans, this isn't without significance. The bases in Stuttgart and Ramstein are tied to logistical lines that run from Kuwait to Kosovo. When these staffs move, the plans of everyone depending on them move too - including our region. We aren't direct players in this game. But we are direct consequences.
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