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After ten days of bombardment, finally a ceasefire. Israel and Lebanon accepted a ten-day ceasefire that took effect at midnight local time. On the streets of Lebanon - celebration. Trump called it a "historic day." Oil prices immediately dropped.
But Trump didn't stop at the ceasefire. He claims Iran agreed to hand over enriched uranium and halt nuclear weapons development. "The end of the war is near," he declared. Is it really - or is this another of his victory announcements before the match is over?
The Pope, Trump and the tyrants
Simultaneously, the clash between Trump and Pope Leo continued to escalate. After Trump's attacks, the Pope issued a statement about "the destruction of the world caused by tyrants who spend billions on wars." He didn't name him - he didn't need to.
Macron gave "full support" to the ceasefire but warned it could be disrupted. UN Secretary-General Guterres welcomed it and thanked Washington for mediation. Pakistan's prime minister praised Trump's "wise diplomatic efforts."
Iran, on the other hand, threatens to sink American vessels in Hormuz. The head of the International Energy Agency warned that Europe has only six weeks of jet fuel reserves.
A ten-day ceasefire is not peace - it's a pause. The question isn't whether the shooting will resume, but when. And while the world celebrates "historic days," the reality is that none of the underlying causes of the conflict have been resolved. In the Balkans, we have long experience with ceasefires that last exactly as long as they suit someone.
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