The war in Ukraine is about to get a new, dangerous address - Belarus. According to Ukrainian sources, President Volodymyr Zelensky has given the green light to plan strikes on Belarusian oil refineries, a step that would pull Lukashenko's country directly into the conflict.

The targets being named are specific: the Mozyr refinery in the Gomel region and the Naftan plant in the Vitebsk region. The logic behind the move is cold and calculated - Belarusian refineries serve as a reserve that can quickly replace Russian fuel when Russian refineries are temporarily knocked out by Ukrainian drones. Hit the reserve, and you've emptied not one tank but two.

The move comes after Zelensky's ultimatum giving Belarus one week to remove the alleged precision-guidance devices for Russian cruise missiles. "If they don't do it, we will," he said - a sentence that sounds short but carries the weight of declaring a new front. The accusation is clear: Minsk is already providing military and logistical support to Moscow.

The question that hangs over it is simple and terrifying: where does this stop? Every expansion of the war into a new country means a new wave of refugees, new fuel bills, and a new layer of insecurity that reaches the Balkans too. Lukashenko long played a thin line between neutrality and alliance with Moscow. Now it looks like that line could turn into a front - and once a new front opens, it rarely closes easily.