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Corridors 8 and 10 are back on the table - not as construction projects, but as geopolitical instruments. According to several analyses published this week, the US, China and Germany see different goals in the same roads, and all three view Macedonia as a critical point.
Corridor 8 - the east-west line connecting the Adriatic and the Black Sea through Albania, Macedonia and Bulgaria - has become part of the American geopolitical map. That isn't a metaphor. According to a US State Department strategic document on the Western Balkans, it is a premium line for connecting the Adriatic to the Black Sea, and the US is actively positioning itself as a partner in its development - with the intent, as the document directly puts it, „to ensure transparent public procurement procedures that benefit American companies."
Corridor 10 - the north-south Vardar-Morava line - has been a subject of Chinese interest since 2017. It's the axis through which Chinese investment in the Greek port of Piraeus connects to European markets. China doesn't write diplomatic documents about the Balkans; China invests directly - and quietly.
And Germany? Germany sees infrastructure as a way to keep the Balkans from becoming unstable. That's the most sober approach but also the most passive - based on „connecting the region" rather than military or economic control.
Where do Macedonia and Bulgaria sit in this calculation? Bulgaria is trying to bypass Macedonia with alternative routes - but geography, as new analyses put it, is „stronger than local egoistic politics." Macedonia geographically sits at the intersection of both corridors, which makes it irreplaceable in all three strategic visions.
The problem is that „strategic point" is not an automatic value. The State Department document implicitly says aid comes with conditions - American companies as a priority in tenders. The strategic analyses define it more precisely: „geographic position by itself is not a virtue; it gains value only when the state knows what to do with it." Without institutions that know how to negotiate, and without transparency in tender awards, a „strategic point" turns into a place through which others make the plan.
For a Macedonian citizen, that means one thing - the next 3-5 years will show whether the state can use the moment, or whether it will only be a field where others play. Bulgarian obstacles in the EU accession process, Chinese investments in Piraeus, and American tenders - that's the three-sided game in which Skopje has to do its part. And so far, what we see doesn't suggest there is strategic coordination between the government, the opposition and the expert institutions. Instead, we have party fights and fragments of political declarations.
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