The US struck Iranian radar positions near the Strait of Hormuz after shooting down four Iranian drones aimed at shipping in the region. The targets were surveillance installations near Goruk and the island of Qeshm - precisely the eyes Iran uses to watch one of the most sensitive chokepoints of world trade. And when one side targets radars, the other targets everything it can see.

Iran's Revolutionary Guard hit back by launching projectiles at US bases in the region and opening fire on four tankers that tried to pass without permission. Kuwait's air defense intercepted projectiles and drones of unknown origin, and in Bahrain sirens wailed and residents were ordered to seek shelter. This is no longer an incident - it's a war spilling across borders.

Iran claims ballistic missiles hit US bases, but the US says it intercepted six projectiles, with the seventh never reaching its target. The numbers, as always in war, depend on who's reporting them. Trump, for his part, measures in his own way: "They still have a certain number of missiles and drones. I'd say, maybe 21 to 22 percent of their missiles are left." Twenty-two percent precision - as if someone counted them exactly.

Behind the military drama sits a number that concerns us all: about a fifth of the world's oil passes through Hormuz, and that flow is now disrupted. When a chokepoint this narrow tightens, the price of fuel jumps worldwide - including at the petrol pumps in the Balkans. A war thousands of kilometers away, and the bill reaches our pockets too.

Indirect talks between Washington and Tehran are stuck for now. Iran demands the lifting of sanctions, the release of 24 billion dollars in frozen assets and access to its ports. The US demands that Iran stop first. And while each side waits for the other to give in first, the tankers burn, the sirens wail, and the world learns again that peace in the Middle East is the most fragile commodity on the market.